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Should I start or sit Carlos Carrasco today?
#59 Carlos Carrasco
Team: Atlanta Braves
Profile: Variable
TriSync Rating:
TriSync Level:
📢 TriSync Expert Analysis
ROTO
Sit
Don't Roster
If Carrasco takes the mound in a Fair window, expectations should be tempered. His propensity suggests a probable ineffective showing more often than not. The Variable profile keeps ambiguity high around the final end results. This lines up as a cautious scratch call.
PI=1.000 PIVS=2.730
ROTO
Sit
Don't Roster
Carrasco entering a Fair window is usually not a great sign. His past propensity in this range points to uninspiring production. With a Variable profile, the inconsistency surrounding his outcomes only increases the downside. Safer to rest him here.
PI=1.000 PIVS=3.050
ROTO
Sit
Don't Roster
Player Performance Cycles (30 Day Interval)
Performance Level Stats (Last 5 Years & Current)
| Level | G | W | L | SV | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | K/9IP | ERA | WHIP | BAA | Game Rating +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excellent | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 31.1 | 25 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 9.5 | 2.59 | 1.05 | 0.208 | +74.96% |
| Good | 36 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 174.2 | 195 | 96 | 91 | 22 | 65 | 157 | 8.1 | 4.69 | 1.49 | 0.281 | +13.21% |
| Fair | 44 | 8 | 23 | 0 | 204.0 | 244 | 155 | 147 | 43 | 67 | 169 | 7.5 | 6.49 | 1.52 | 0.296 | -21.02% |
| Suboptimal | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 36.0 | 44 | 25 | 25 | 8 | 7 | 33 | 8.3 | 6.25 | 1.42 | 0.301 | -0.07% |
Season Stats (Last 5 Years & Current)
| Season | G | W | L | SV | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | K/9IP | ERA | WHIP | BAA | Game Rating x̄ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.000 | 4.37 |
| 2025 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 45.2 | 61 | 36 | 36 | 10 | 17 | 34 | 6.7 | 7.09 | 1.71 | 0.316 | 1.69 |
| 2024 | 21 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 103.2 | 112 | 68 | 65 | 19 | 33 | 89 | 7.7 | 5.64 | 1.40 | 0.276 | 2.30 |
| 2023 | 20 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 90.0 | 115 | 71 | 68 | 18 | 38 | 66 | 6.6 | 6.80 | 1.70 | 0.310 | 1.58 |
| 2022 | 29 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 152.0 | 161 | 71 | 67 | 17 | 41 | 152 | 9.0 | 3.97 | 1.33 | 0.272 | 3.57 |
| 2021 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 53.2 | 59 | 39 | 36 | 12 | 18 | 50 | 8.4 | 6.04 | 1.43 | 0.272 | 2.32 |
Individual Game Stats
| Date | Opponent | Decision | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | TriSync Rating | TriSync Level | Game Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026 | @WSH | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Good | 4.37 | ||
| Aug 13, 2025 | @NYM | 2.0 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | Good | -1.71 | ||
| Aug 7, 2025 | MIA | 5.2 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | Good | -1.22 | ||
| Jul 31, 2025 | @CIN | 6.0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | Excellent | 2.31 | ||
| May 4, 2025 | TB | 3.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | Excellent | 2.59 | ||
| Apr 30, 2025 | @BAL | L | 3.1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | Fair | 1.41 | |
| Apr 25, 2025 | TOR | 5.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | Good | 4.42 | ||
| Apr 19, 2025 | @TB | 4.0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | Good | 0.18 | ||
| Apr 14, 2025 | KC | W | 5.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | Good | 5.01 | |
| Apr 8, 2025 | @DET | L | 4.1 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | Suboptimal | 1.05 | |
| Apr 3, 2025 | AZ | W | 5.1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | Good | 3.04 | |
| Mar 29, 2025 | MIL | 2.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | Good | 1.57 | ||
| Aug 7, 2024 | AZ | L | 4.1 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | Fair | 1.45 | |
| Aug 2, 2024 | BAL | 4.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | Good | 4.00 | ||
| Jul 27, 2024 | @PHI | L | 3.2 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 5 | Fair | -0.15 | |
| Jul 22, 2024 | DET | L | 5.1 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | Fair | 0.29 | |
| Jul 12, 2024 | @TB | L | 5.0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | Fair | 3.69 | |
| Jul 7, 2024 | SF | 5.0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | Fair | 2.27 | ||
| Jul 2, 2024 | CWS | 6.0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | Fair | 3.59 | ||
| Jun 26, 2024 | @BAL | 5.0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | Good | 2.55 | ||
| Jun 21, 2024 | TOR | W | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | Excellent | 6.27 | |
| Jun 15, 2024 | @TOR | L | 5.0 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | Fair | -0.17 | |
| Jun 9, 2024 | @MIA | 4.2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | Fair | 3.33 | ||
| Jun 2, 2024 | WSH | L | 4.0 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | Suboptimal | 0.58 | |
| May 15, 2024 | @TEX | L | 5.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | Fair | 2.97 | |
| May 10, 2024 | @CWS | L | 7.0 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | Good | 3.21 | |
| May 5, 2024 | LAA | W | 6.0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | Good | 4.17 | |
| Apr 30, 2024 | @HOU | 4.0 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | Fair | -2.37 | ||
| Apr 24, 2024 | BOS | L | 5.0 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | Fair | 0.22 | |
| Apr 18, 2024 | @BOS | W | 5.2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | Excellent | 3.81 | |
| Apr 13, 2024 | NYY | L | 4.2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | Fair | 2.34 | |
| Apr 6, 2024 | @MIN | 3.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | Fair | 4.32 | ||
| Mar 31, 2024 | @OAK | 5.0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | Good | 1.99 | ||
| Aug 26, 2023 | LAA | L | 1.2 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Suboptimal | -0.63 | |
| Aug 20, 2023 | @STL | L | 4.0 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | Good | 1.67 | |
| Aug 14, 2023 | PIT | 3.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | Good | 2.74 | ||
| Aug 8, 2023 | CHC | 5.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | Fair | 3.54 | ||
| Aug 3, 2023 | @KC | L | 6.0 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | Fair | -1.29 | |
| Jul 29, 2023 | WSH | L | 2.1 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Fair | -1.40 | |
| Jul 23, 2023 | @BOS | L | 2.1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | Fair | -1.15 | |
| Jul 18, 2023 | CWS | 4.2 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | Good | 1.37 | ||
| Jul 6, 2023 | @AZ | W | 8.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | Fair | 6.52 | |
| Jun 30, 2023 | SF | 5.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | Good | 3.26 | ||
| Jun 25, 2023 | @PHI | 4.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | Good | 3.07 | ||
| Jun 18, 2023 | STL | 3.0 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Fair | -0.13 | ||
| Jun 11, 2023 | @PIT | L | 4.2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | Good | 1.65 | |
| Jun 6, 2023 | @ATL | 5.0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | Fair | 1.16 | ||
| May 31, 2023 | PHI | W | 6.0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | Suboptimal | 4.76 | |
| May 25, 2023 | @CHC | W | 6.2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | Fair | 4.74 | |
| May 19, 2023 | CLE | 5.0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | Suboptimal | 0.22 | ||
| Apr 15, 2023 | @OAK | 5.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | Fair | 3.11 | ||
| Apr 9, 2023 | MIA | L | 4.2 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | Good | -1.52 | |
| Apr 3, 2023 | @MIL | L | 4.0 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | Fair | -0.09 | |
| Oct 4, 2022 | WSH | 4.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | Suboptimal | 2.78 | ||
| Sep 27, 2022 | MIA | L | 3.0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | Fair | 0.53 | |
| Sep 20, 2022 | @MIL | 4.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | Good | 1.94 | ||
| Sep 15, 2022 | PIT | W | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | Good | 6.88 | |
| Sep 10, 2022 | @MIA | W | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | Fair | 5.96 | |
| Sep 4, 2022 | WSH | L | 2.2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | Fair | 2.67 | |
| Aug 15, 2022 | @ATL | L | 2.0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | Fair | 1.16 | |
| Aug 9, 2022 | CIN | W | 6.2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | Good | 5.34 | |
| Aug 4, 2022 | ATL | W | 6.0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | Good | 3.88 | |
| Jul 30, 2022 | @MIA | W | 7.2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | Fair | 6.91 | |
| Jul 24, 2022 | SD | 5.0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | Fair | 3.69 | ||
| Jul 14, 2022 | @CHC | W | 6.0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | Good | 6.12 | |
| Jul 9, 2022 | MIA | 5.2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | Good | 3.10 | ||
| Jul 3, 2022 | TEX | W | 5.2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | Fair | 5.89 | |
| Jun 28, 2022 | HOU | L | 4.1 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | Fair | -0.81 | |
| Jun 22, 2022 | @HOU | L | 2.1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | Fair | -0.37 | |
| Jun 17, 2022 | MIA | W | 6.1 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | Good | 3.37 | |
| Jun 11, 2022 | @LAA | L | 4.2 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 7 | Good | 0.96 | |
| Jun 6, 2022 | @SD | W | 7.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | Suboptimal | 6.32 | |
| Jun 1, 2022 | WSH | W | 5.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | Good | 4.86 | |
| May 27, 2022 | PHI | W | 5.2 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | Good | 2.11 | |
| May 21, 2022 | @COL | W | 5.1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Fair | 4.78 | |
| May 15, 2022 | SEA | 4.1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Good | 0.51 | ||
| May 10, 2022 | @WSH | W | 6.2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | Good | 4.45 | |
| May 3, 2022 | ATL | W | 8.0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | Fair | 6.06 | |
| Apr 27, 2022 | @STL | L | 3.2 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | Fair | -2.80 | |
| Apr 21, 2022 | SF | W | 7.2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | Fair | 5.69 | |
| Apr 16, 2022 | AZ | 5.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | Excellent | 6.22 | ||
| Apr 10, 2022 | @WSH | 5.2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | Excellent | 5.29 | ||
| Oct 2, 2021 | @ATL | L | 5.0 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | Fair | 0.49 | |
| Sep 26, 2021 | @MIL | L | 4.0 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | Fair | -0.74 | |
| Sep 18, 2021 | PHI | L | 6.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | Good | 3.45 | |
| Sep 12, 2021 | NYY | 5.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | Good | 2.97 | ||
| Sep 7, 2021 | @MIA | W | 5.0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | Good | 4.42 | |
| Sep 2, 2021 | MIA | 5.1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | Fair | 2.90 | ||
| Aug 26, 2021 | SF | 7.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | Fair | 4.52 | ||
| Aug 20, 2021 | @LAD | L | 5.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | Fair | 2.97 | |
| Aug 15, 2021 | LAD | L | 2.0 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | Fair | -0.95 | |
| Aug 11, 2021 | WSH | 1.0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Fair | -0.09 | ||
| Aug 4, 2021 | @MIA | 4.1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | Good | 3.71 | ||
| Jul 30, 2021 | CIN | 4.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | Suboptimal | 4.22 |
If Carlos Carrasco is called on today, he lands in a Fair window that hasn’t been kind to him. His usual inclination in this range leans toward a probable uninspiring outing. The Variable profile adds another layer of variability to the metrics. Best move is to exclude unless you see a clear edge elsewhere.
PI=1.000 PIVS=3.790