Mitchell projects into a Fair performance window, and his past performance here isn’t encouraging. The typical track record is toward lackluster production. With a Variable profile, the outcomes can swing due to added instability. Safer to sit him unless something strongly tips the scales.
PI=1.500 PIVS=3.050
With a Variable profile, it’s not plug-and-play for this pitcher. The signal lacks a definitive solution without added context. Consider opponent strength, weather, and venue. Let those factors make the call on whether to rest or start him.
PI=1.500 PIVS=3.050
| Level | G | W | L | SV | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | K/9IP | ERA | WHIP | BAA | Game Rating +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excellent | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23.0 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 5.9 | 3.13 | 1.30 | 0.258 | +9.19% |
| Good | 26 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 128.0 | 108 | 67 | 56 | 12 | 43 | 94 | 6.6 | 3.94 | 1.18 | 0.224 | +26.39% |
| Fair | 33 | 9 | 17 | 0 | 162.2 | 198 | 125 | 114 | 28 | 52 | 126 | 7.0 | 6.31 | 1.54 | 0.297 | -28.11% |
| Suboptimal | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13.1 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 7.4 | 2.70 | 1.28 | 0.264 | +65.13% |
| Season | G | W | L | SV | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | K/9IP | ERA | WHIP | BAA | Game Rating x̄ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11.1 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 7.9 | 4.76 | 1.32 | 0.262 | 3.56 |
| 2025 | 33 | 9 | 16 | 1 | 164.2 | 178 | 116 | 104 | 25 | 58 | 103 | 5.6 | 5.68 | 1.43 | 0.273 | 2.02 |
| 2024 | 29 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 151.0 | 154 | 82 | 72 | 18 | 43 | 133 | 7.9 | 4.29 | 1.30 | 0.259 | 3.07 |
| Date | Opponent | Decision | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | TriSync Rating | TriSync Level | Game Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026 | @NYM | W | 3.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Fair | 3.59 | |
| Apr 25, 2026 | @CWS | 1.1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | Good | 2.57 | ||
| Apr 22, 2026 | ATL | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Excellent | 3.83 | ||
| Apr 18, 2026 | SF | 3.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | Fair | 1.76 | ||
| Apr 14, 2026 | @PIT | W | 2.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | Good | 6.06 | |
| Sep 28, 2025 | CWS | 2.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Good | 3.26 | ||
| Sep 24, 2025 | @ATL | W | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Good | 4.30 | |
| Sep 21, 2025 | @NYM | SV | 3.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Suboptimal | 5.49 | |
| Sep 15, 2025 | ATL | L | 5.0 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Fair | -1.46 | |
| Sep 9, 2025 | @MIA | W | 7.2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | Good | 3.62 | |
| Sep 3, 2025 | MIA | 4.2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | Fair | 2.91 | ||
| Aug 29, 2025 | TB | L | 6.1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | Fair | 3.66 | |
| Aug 23, 2025 | @PHI | L | 5.0 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | Fair | -0.43 | |
| Aug 17, 2025 | PHI | 1.2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | Fair | -1.27 | ||
| Aug 12, 2025 | @KC | L | 5.1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | Fair | 0.42 | |
| Aug 7, 2025 | ATH | L | 5.0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | Fair | 0.89 | |
| Aug 1, 2025 | MIL | L | 4.0 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | Fair | -2.86 | |
| Jul 26, 2025 | @MIN | W | 5.2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | Fair | 3.53 | |
| Jul 19, 2025 | SD | W | 6.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | Fair | 4.03 | |
| Jul 11, 2025 | @MIL | L | 4.2 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | Fair | -2.76 | |
| Jul 5, 2025 | BOS | L | 6.0 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | Fair | 1.07 | |
| Jun 29, 2025 | @LAA | 5.0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | Excellent | 1.44 | ||
| Jun 23, 2025 | @SD | W | 6.0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | Fair | 1.90 | |
| Jun 18, 2025 | COL | L | 6.0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | Fair | 5.66 | |
| Jun 13, 2025 | MIA | L | 3.1 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | Fair | -1.49 | |
| Jun 7, 2025 | TEX | L | 6.0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | Good | 5.96 | |
| Jun 1, 2025 | @AZ | L | 5.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | Good | 1.85 | |
| May 27, 2025 | @SEA | L | 4.2 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | Suboptimal | 1.24 | |
| May 20, 2025 | ATL | W | 5.1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | Good | 2.90 | |
| May 14, 2025 | @ATL | 4.2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | Good | 1.92 | ||
| May 9, 2025 | STL | L | 4.0 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | Fair | 1.12 | |
| May 2, 2025 | @CIN | L | 4.0 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | Good | -0.87 | |
| Apr 27, 2025 | NYM | 5.0 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 0 | Good | -2.33 | ||
| Apr 22, 2025 | BAL | W | 8.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | Good | 6.52 | |
| Apr 16, 2025 | @PIT | L | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | Good | 5.06 | |
| Apr 11, 2025 | @MIA | 6.0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | Fair | 2.03 | ||
| Apr 5, 2025 | AZ | W | 6.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | Fair | 3.88 | |
| Mar 30, 2025 | PHI | W | 6.1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | Good | 5.58 | |
| Sep 24, 2024 | KC | 5.0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | Suboptimal | 5.01 | ||
| Sep 17, 2024 | @NYM | L | 3.2 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | Fair | -0.80 | |
| Sep 12, 2024 | MIA | 6.1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | Good | 6.19 | ||
| Sep 7, 2024 | @PIT | 3.1 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | Good | 0.60 | ||
| Sep 1, 2024 | CHC | L | 6.0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | Fair | 3.45 | |
| Aug 26, 2024 | NYY | L | 4.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | Fair | 3.07 | |
| Aug 21, 2024 | COL | W | 7.0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | Fair | 5.71 | |
| Aug 15, 2024 | @PHI | L | 3.0 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 6 | Fair | -3.02 | |
| Aug 9, 2024 | LAA | 6.1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | Good | 5.43 | ||
| Aug 4, 2024 | MIL | W | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | Good | 5.21 | |
| Jul 29, 2024 | @AZ | 5.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | Excellent | 2.83 | ||
| Jul 24, 2024 | SD | L | 3.0 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 5 | Good | -0.91 | |
| Jul 13, 2024 | @MIL | 0.2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | Fair | -0.54 | ||
| Jul 8, 2024 | STL | L | 7.0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | Fair | 4.96 | |
| Jul 3, 2024 | NYM | 6.0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | Good | 1.48 | ||
| Jun 28, 2024 | @TB | L | 5.0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | Excellent | 3.40 | |
| Jun 22, 2024 | @COL | 6.0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | Good | 2.45 | ||
| Jun 16, 2024 | MIA | W | 6.0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Excellent | 5.06 | |
| Jun 11, 2024 | @DET | 4.2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | Good | 3.62 | ||
| Jun 6, 2024 | ATL | 7.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | Good | 3.64 | ||
| Jun 1, 2024 | @CLE | L | 5.2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | Fair | 2.11 | |
| May 27, 2024 | @ATL | W | 6.1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | Fair | 4.10 | |
| May 20, 2024 | MIN | W | 6.0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | Fair | 3.74 | |
| May 14, 2024 | @CWS | L | 5.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | Good | 1.85 | |
| May 8, 2024 | BAL | 5.2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | Fair | 3.10 | ||
| May 2, 2024 | @TEX | L | 5.1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | Good | 2.33 | |
| Apr 27, 2024 | @MIA | 4.0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | Fair | 2.92 | ||
| Apr 21, 2024 | HOU | W | 7.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | Fair | 7.87 | |
| Apr 15, 2024 | @LAD | W | 5.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Good | 4.27 |
If called upon, Mitchell lands in a Good window that supports premium production. His tendency suggests he can deliver in these conditions. The Variable profile introduces some risk, but the upside remains appealing.
PI=2.520 PIVS=3.050