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Should I start or sit Paul Skenes today?
#30 Paul Skenes
Team: Pittsburgh Pirates
Profile: Variable
TriSync Rating:
TriSync Level:
📢 TriSync Expert Analysis
ROTO
Start
⭐⭐⭐
A Fair window isn’t a great spot for Paul, based on his history. His inclination in these situations has often led to flat outcomes. With the Variable profile introducing ambiguity, the end results carry risk. It’s probably best to exclude unless you have a strong case to play him.
PI=4.810 PIVS=2.575
ROTO
Start
⭐⭐⭐
Paul projects into a Fair performance window, and his past performance here isn’t encouraging. The typical propensity is toward dull production. With a Variable profile, the metrics can swing due to added inconsistency. Safer to bench him unless something strongly tips the scales.
PI=4.810 PIVS=2.575
ROTO
Start
⭐⭐⭐
Player Performance Cycles (30 Day Interval)
Performance Level Stats (Last 5 Years & Current)
| Level | G | W | L | SV | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | K/9IP | ERA | WHIP | BAA | Game Rating +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excellent | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 27.0 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 9.3 | 1.33 | 0.59 | 0.110 | +18.84% |
| Good | 20 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 114.1 | 87 | 20 | 19 | 6 | 27 | 138 | 10.9 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 0.213 | +3.91% |
| Fair | 35 | 14 | 9 | 0 | 195.1 | 146 | 62 | 56 | 18 | 45 | 239 | 11.0 | 2.58 | 0.98 | 0.204 | -6.36% |
| Suboptimal | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18.0 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10.0 | 1.50 | 0.67 | 0.143 | +23.04% |
Season Stats (Last 5 Years & Current)
| Season | G | W | L | SV | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | K/9IP | ERA | WHIP | BAA | Game Rating x̄ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 34.0 | 22 | 13 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 39 | 10.3 | 3.18 | 0.85 | 0.182 | 4.62 |
| 2025 | 32 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 187.2 | 136 | 45 | 41 | 11 | 42 | 216 | 10.4 | 1.97 | 0.95 | 0.199 | 5.11 |
| 2024 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 133.0 | 94 | 31 | 29 | 10 | 32 | 170 | 11.5 | 1.96 | 0.95 | 0.198 | 5.39 |
Individual Game Stats
| Date | Opponent | Decision | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | TriSync Rating | TriSync Level | Game Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026 | STL | L | 5.0 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | Fair | 2.83 | |
| Apr 24, 2026 | @MIL | W | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | Suboptimal | 7.87 | |
| Apr 18, 2026 | TB | 4.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | Fair | 5.71 | ||
| Apr 13, 2026 | WSH | W | 6.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | Excellent | 6.12 | |
| Apr 7, 2026 | SD | W | 6.1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | Good | 5.73 | |
| Apr 1, 2026 | @CIN | W | 5.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | Suboptimal | 5.01 | |
| Mar 26, 2026 | @NYM | L | 0.2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | Good | -0.93 | |
| Sep 24, 2025 | @CIN | 6.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | Fair | 6.57 | ||
| Sep 16, 2025 | CHC | L | 3.2 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | Good | 1.88 | |
| Sep 10, 2025 | @BAL | 5.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | Good | 6.99 | ||
| Sep 4, 2025 | LAD | W | 6.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | Fair | 7.51 | |
| Aug 29, 2025 | @BOS | W | 6.0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | Fair | 5.21 | |
| Aug 24, 2025 | COL | W | 7.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | Excellent | 7.56 | |
| Aug 18, 2025 | TOR | 6.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | Suboptimal | 4.61 | ||
| Aug 12, 2025 | @MIL | L | 4.0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | Fair | 0.98 | |
| Aug 7, 2025 | CIN | W | 6.0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | Good | 7.04 | |
| Aug 2, 2025 | @COL | 5.0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | Fair | 2.41 | ||
| Jul 27, 2025 | AZ | W | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | Good | 7.66 | |
| Jul 21, 2025 | DET | W | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | Fair | 6.73 | |
| Jul 11, 2025 | @MIN | L | 5.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | Fair | 4.12 | |
| Jul 6, 2025 | @SEA | 5.0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | Good | 7.14 | ||
| Jul 1, 2025 | STL | 5.0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | Good | 5.31 | ||
| Jun 25, 2025 | @MIL | L | 4.0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | Fair | 1.25 | |
| Jun 19, 2025 | @DET | 6.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | Fair | 4.03 | ||
| Jun 13, 2025 | @CHC | 5.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | Good | 5.16 | ||
| Jun 8, 2025 | PHI | 7.2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | Fair | 6.91 | ||
| Jun 3, 2025 | HOU | L | 8.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | Good | 6.22 | |
| May 28, 2025 | @AZ | W | 6.2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | Fair | 7.33 | |
| May 23, 2025 | MIL | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | Fair | 5.36 | ||
| May 18, 2025 | @PHI | L | 8.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | Excellent | 6.52 | |
| May 12, 2025 | @NYM | 6.0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | Good | 4.17 | ||
| May 6, 2025 | @STL | L | 6.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | Excellent | 3.45 | |
| May 1, 2025 | CHC | L | 5.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | Fair | 1.03 | |
| Apr 25, 2025 | @LAD | W | 6.1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | Fair | 7.74 | |
| Apr 19, 2025 | CLE | L | 7.0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | Fair | 3.50 | |
| Apr 14, 2025 | WSH | W | 6.0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | Fair | 6.12 | |
| Apr 8, 2025 | STL | L | 6.0 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | Fair | 1.62 | |
| Apr 2, 2025 | @TB | W | 7.0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | Fair | 7.25 | |
| Mar 27, 2025 | @MIA | 5.1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | Fair | 4.19 | ||
| Sep 28, 2024 | @NYY | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Fair | 5.16 | ||
| Sep 22, 2024 | @CIN | W | 5.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | Fair | 7.93 | |
| Sep 16, 2024 | @STL | L | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | Fair | 5.36 | |
| Sep 9, 2024 | MIA | W | 6.0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | Fair | 6.27 | |
| Sep 3, 2024 | @CHC | W | 5.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | Good | 5.46 | |
| Aug 28, 2024 | CHC | 5.0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | Fair | 3.83 | ||
| Aug 22, 2024 | CIN | W | 6.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | Fair | 7.82 | |
| Aug 16, 2024 | SEA | W | 6.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | Fair | 4.03 | |
| Aug 10, 2024 | @LAD | L | 6.0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | Fair | 2.74 | |
| Aug 4, 2024 | AZ | 5.1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | Fair | 2.75 | ||
| Jul 29, 2024 | @HOU | 6.0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | Good | 4.32 | ||
| Jul 23, 2024 | STL | L | 8.1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | Good | 5.53 | |
| Jul 11, 2024 | @MIL | W | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | Good | 8.99 | |
| Jul 5, 2024 | NYM | W | 7.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | Fair | 5.26 | |
| Jun 29, 2024 | @ATL | 6.0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | Fair | 5.36 | ||
| Jun 23, 2024 | TB | 7.0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | Good | 5.56 | ||
| Jun 17, 2024 | CIN | W | 6.0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | Good | 5.66 | |
| Jun 11, 2024 | @STL | 6.1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | Good | 6.80 | ||
| Jun 5, 2024 | LAD | W | 5.0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | Fair | 3.98 | |
| May 29, 2024 | @DET | W | 6.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | Good | 5.81 | |
| May 23, 2024 | SF | 6.0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | Good | 3.88 | ||
| May 17, 2024 | @CHC | W | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | Fair | 8.78 | |
| May 11, 2024 | CHC | 4.0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | Fair | 2.64 |
The Fair window sets a lower expectation for Paul Skenes if he pitches today. Historically, his track record has been toward ineffective outings in these spots. The Variable profile adds another layer of instability to the results. Unless you have a compelling reason, best to bench him.
PI=4.810 PIVS=2.575